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Oil prices remain near 4-month highs as Russia sanctions weighed By Reuters | masr356.com

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By Colleen Howe and Trixie Yap

(Reuters) -Oil prices eased on Tuesday however remained near four-month highs as the affect of recent U.S. sanctions on Russian oil remained the market’s key focus.

futures slipped 28 cents, or 0.4%, to $80.73 a barrel by 0400 GMT, whereas U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 18 cents, or 0.2% to $78.64 a barrel.

Prices jumped 2% on Monday after the U.S. Treasury Division on Friday imposed sanctions on Gazprom (MCX:) Neft and Surgutneftegas as properly as 183 vessels that commerce oil as a part of Russia’s so-called “shadow fleet” of tankers.

“Headlines surrounding Russia oil sanctions have been the dominant driver for oil prices over the previous week, and mixed with resilient U.S. financial information, the tighter supply-demand dynamics have been seeing some momentum,” stated IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

“Prices are taking a slight breather as we speak. With prices rising quick and livid by near 10% for the reason that begin of the 12 months, it does immediate some profit-taking as occasion dangers round upcoming U.S. inflation information releases loom.”

The U.S. producer value index (PPI) will probably be launched later within the day, with client value index (CPI) information on Wednesday.

The stakes are excessive for Wednesday’s figures, the place any rise in core inflation better than the forecast 0.2% would threaten to shut the door on additional Federal Reserve rate of interest cuts this 12 months. [MKTS/GLOB]

Decrease rates of interest sometimes assist in stimulating financial development, which may prop up oil demand.

“The latest rally to a three-month excessive does sign an enchancment in sentiment, however whereas broad bearish pressures have eased in the meanwhile, a stronger catalyst remains to be wanted to gas a sustained broader uptrend,” IG’s Yeap added.

Whereas analysts had been nonetheless anticipating a major value affect on Russian oil provides from the recent sanctions, the precise bodily affect may very well be much less.

“…These sanctions have the potential to take as a lot as 700k b/d of provide off the market, which might erase the excess that we predict for this 12 months. Nevertheless, the precise discount in flows will doubtless be much less, as Russia and patrons discover methods round these sanctions – clearly there will probably be extra pressure on non-sanctioned vessels throughout the shadow fleet,” ING analysts stated in a notice.

© Reuters. A view shows Chao Xing tanker at the crude oil terminal Kozmino on the shore of Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia August 12, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo

In the meantime, demand uncertainty from main purchaser China may blunt the affect of the tighter provide. China’s imports fell in 2024 for the primary time in 20 years outdoors of the COVID-19 pandemic, official information confirmed on Monday.

“New sanctions on Russian tankers are anticipated to affect crude provide to China and India, although key gamers in these nations are nonetheless assessing the authorized state of affairs and potential workarounds,” stated Sparta Commodities’ Philip Jones-Lux.


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